Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
66.57% | 19.47% | 13.95% |
Both teams to score 50.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% | 42.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% | 65.29% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.01% | 11.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.59% | 37.41% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.38% | 42.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.03% | 78.96% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 11.49% 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.96% 5-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.47% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 9.24% 0-0 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.47% | 0-1 @ 4.36% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |