While both sides are effectively safe, they will each want to wrap up the season in style. However, Empoli's inability to turn one point into three leaves them desperate for their first success in months.
The Azzurri tend to be more defensively solid away from home - conceding 20 fewer goals on the road than at the Castellani this term - and following a clean sheet last week, they can deny Udinese a third win on the bounce.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
