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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

AC Milan
1 - 2
Napoli

Giroud (69')
Kjaer (18'), Calabria (45'), Krunic (53'), Tomori (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')
Rrahmani (63'), Simeone (70'), Zerbin (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rangers 0-3 Napoli
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Napoli

Despite the disappointment of Leao and Osimhen having to watch on from the stands, both sides have numerous routes to goal and should both score at least once. The Rossoneri may inflict Napoli's first defeat of the season, though, thanks to the winning mentality that made them champions in May. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawNapoli
35.82% (0.264 0.26) 28.62% (0.193 0.19) 35.56% (-0.459 -0.46)
Both teams to score 45.95% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (-0.689 -0.69)60.51% (0.687 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (-0.524 -0.52)80.62% (0.52200000000001 0.52)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.87% (-0.182 -0.18)32.12% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4% (-0.208 -0.21)68.6% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.648 -0.65)32.29% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-0.741 -0.74)68.8% (0.739 0.74)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 35.82%
    Napoli 35.55%
    Draw 28.61%
AC MilanDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.82%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.37% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.72% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.55%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan
51.9%
Draw
22.8%
Napoli
25.2%
206
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
AC Milan

Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (37'), Osimhen (77'), Ounas (90+2')
Giroud (49')
Pioli (8'), Giroud (39'), Hernandez (77'), Maignan (83'), Florenzi (90+3')
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-1
Napoli

Hernandez (86')
Rebic (90+2')
Politano (49')
Maksimovic (26'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Gennaro Gattuso (89')
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
1-3
AC Milan
Mertens (63')
Bakayoko (16'), Rui (81')
Bakayoko (65')
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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