Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Roma had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
49.97% ( 0.44) | 25.87% ( -0.08) | 24.16% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 48.43% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.24% ( 0.03) | 54.76% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.93% ( 0.02) | 76.07% ( -0.02) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( 0.2) | 21.95% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.76% ( 0.31) | 55.24% ( -0.31) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.05% ( -0.31) | 37.94% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.28% ( -0.31) | 74.71% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.97% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.62% Total : 24.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |