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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Arechi
Milan logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
AC Milan

Bonazzoli (83')
Piatek (73'), Bradaric (76'), Coulibaly (81'), Daniliuc (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leao (10'), Tonali (15')
Giroud (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-0 Salernitana
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSV 3-0 AC Milan
Friday, December 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Salernitana 1-2 AC Milan

Milan must keep winning in order to stay in touch with Napoli at a key stage of the season, and we are expecting the reigning champions to navigate their way to an important three points on Wednesday, but they might have to suffer for stages of the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawAC Milan
21.36% (1.157 1.16) 21.39% (0.073 0.07) 57.25% (-1.225 -1.23)
Both teams to score 59.27% (1.601 1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (1.265 1.27)38.73% (-1.261 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (1.321 1.32)61.03% (-1.317 -1.32)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (1.816 1.82)31.58% (-1.81 -1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (2.043 2.04)67.98% (-2.038 -2.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.045000000000002 0.05)13.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (0.087000000000003 0.09)40.27% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 21.36%
    AC Milan 57.25%
    Draw 21.39%
SalernitanaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.64% (0.231 0.23)
1-0 @ 4.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.17% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 21.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.241 0.24)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.39%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.55% (-0.491 -0.49)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.502 -0.5)
1-3 @ 6.61% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.73% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.168 0.17)
1-4 @ 3.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.88% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.92% (0.087 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 57.25%

How you voted: Salernitana vs AC Milan

Salernitana
11.3%
Draw
13.5%
AC Milan
75.2%
133
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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