Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.34%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
70.62% ( -0.19) | 18.42% ( 0.1) | 10.95% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 44.8% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.39% ( -0.21) | 45.61% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.07% ( -0.2) | 67.93% ( 0.2) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.34% ( -0.11) | 11.66% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.28% ( -0.24) | 36.72% ( 0.23) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.72% ( 0.02) | 49.28% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.84% ( 0.01) | 84.15% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 13.26% 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.6% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.42% | 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 10.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |