Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 44%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Lecce |
44% ( 3.05) | 26.29% ( -0.17) | 29.71% ( -2.88) |
Both teams to score 51.39% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.04% ( -0.3) | 52.96% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.44% ( -0.25) | 74.56% ( 0.25) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% ( 1.41) | 23.94% ( -1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.84% ( 1.98) | 58.16% ( -1.98) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.56% ( -2.16) | 32.43% ( 2.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.04% ( -2.51) | 68.96% ( 2.51) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.48) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.72% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.13) Other @ 1% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.34) Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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