Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
64.81% ( 0.17) | 19.62% ( 0.05) | 15.57% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( -0.69) | 40.12% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% ( -0.72) | 62.49% ( 0.72) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% ( -0.16) | 11.65% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.3% ( -0.34) | 36.7% ( 0.34) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.32% ( -0.72) | 38.68% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.58% ( -0.68) | 75.41% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.91% Total : 64.81% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |