Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Apr 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
2 - 3
Cremonese

Leris (15'), Lammers (66')
Stankovic (58'), Leris (89'), Oikonomou (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ghiglione (35'), Lochoshvili (85'), Sernicola (90+5')
Bianchetti (37'), Sernicola (90+5'), Afena-Gyan (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 2 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sampdoria 2-1 Cremonese

Deflated by their defeat in the Coppa Italia, Cremonese also tend to run out of steam during the closing stages of games, so will be vulnerable to an improving Sampdoria side on Saturday. The visitors have conceded 12 goals to substitutes in Serie A this season - including two last time out - which is the most of any side throughout the league; Samp can therefore snatch a winner in a close-fought contest, to keep survival dreams alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Cremonese
36.08% ( -0.35)	28.28% ( 0.06)	35.64% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 46.97% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.73% (

-0.2)

59.27% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.32% (

-0.15)

79.68% (

0.15)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

-0.32)

31.32% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.32% (

-0.37)

67.68% (

0.37)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39% (

0.09)

31.61% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

0.1)

68.01% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 36.08%

Cremonese 35.64%

Draw 28.27%

Sampdoria	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.08%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.27%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.64%