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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | RB Leipzig |
66.88% ( -0.3) | 16.77% ( 0.12) | 16.34% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 67.5% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.72% ( -0.27) | 24.28% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.03% ( -0.36) | 43.96% ( 0.36) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.13% ( -0.13) | 6.87% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.73% ( -0.34) | 25.26% ( 0.34) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% ( -0) | 27.52% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.97% ( -0) | 63.02% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.3% Total : 66.88% | 1-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.77% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.87% Total : 16.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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