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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hertha Berlin in this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
42.32% ( 0.27) | 24.6% ( -0.18) | 33.08% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 58.43% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.53% ( 0.78) | 44.47% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% ( 0.75) | 66.84% ( -0.75) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% ( 0.46) | 21.09% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% ( 0.71) | 53.91% ( -0.71) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.04% ( 0.31) | 25.95% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% ( 0.42) | 60.96% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.32% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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