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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
62.43% ( -0.02) | 20.17% | 17.39% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.8% ( 0.03) | 39.19% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.47% ( 0.04) | 61.52% ( -0.04) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.97% ( 0) | 12.02% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.5% ( 0.01) | 37.49% ( -0.01) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.1% ( 0.05) | 35.89% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.33% ( 0.05) | 72.67% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 62.43% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.17% | 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 17.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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