MX23RW : Monday, June 10 09:22:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Cerezo

Horigome (64'), Togashi (90+3')
Iwasaki (39'), Horigome (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ceara (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Urawa
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Cerezo Osaka

 Despite both sides tasting defeat last week, they have both had solid records in recent weeks, so we can see this one being a closely-fought contest. The two sides have scored and conceded a similar amount of goals so far this campaign, suggesting that there is not a lot to split the teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawCerezo Osaka
34.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.55% (0.00099999999999767 0) 39.21% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.68% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.33% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)29.21% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.16% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 34.25%
    Cerezo Osaka 39.21%
    Draw 26.54%
Sagan TosuDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.85% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.21%

How you voted: Sagan Tosu vs Cerezo

Sagan Tosu
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
Cerezo Osaka
83.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 5am
Gameweek 4
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 29
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Honda (82')
May 3, 2022 7am
Gameweek 11
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
Jul 24, 2021 11am
Gameweek 22
Sagan Tosu
3-3
Cerezo
Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')
Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
Apr 2, 2021 11am
Gameweek 7
Cerezo
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Okuno (46')

Sento (42'), Seok-Ho (55'), Dudu (81')
Seok-Ho (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia17112428151335
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17112430191135
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka179441712531
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1793525131230
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1668228151326
6FC Tokyo177552725226
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus178272019126
8Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa177462723425
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo176742319425
10Avispa Fukuoka176741717025
11Tokyo Verdy175932626024
12Kashiwa ReysolReysol175751723-622
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama155552421320
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki175572525020
15Albirex Niigata175482226-419
16Jubilo Iwata175392226-418
17Sagan Tosu1642102128-714
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare173592332-914
19Kyoto Sanga1725101331-1811
20Consadole SapporoConsadole1725101636-2011
> J1 League Full Table


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