Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Valencia |
32.96% ( -0.12) | 28.37% ( -0) | 38.67% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 46.41% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.17% ( -0.01) | 59.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.89% ( -0) | 80.11% ( 0.01) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.32% ( -0.09) | 33.69% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% ( -0.09) | 70.34% ( 0.1) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.98% ( 0.07) | 30.02% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.86% ( 0.09) | 66.14% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
16 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |