Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Las Palmas |
43.53% ( -0.09) | 26.44% | 30.03% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 51.1% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.59% ( 0.05) | 53.42% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.06% ( 0.04) | 74.95% ( -0.03) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.63% ( -0.02) | 24.37% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% ( -0.04) | 58.77% ( 0.04) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% ( 0.1) | 32.44% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.04% ( 0.1) | 68.96% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |