Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
36.87% | 25.29% | 37.83% |
Both teams to score 56.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53% | 46.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% | 69.24% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% | 24.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.41% | 59.58% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.57% | 24.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.14% | 58.85% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 0.94% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |