Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Monaco |
45.49% ( -0.26) | 25.12% ( -0.12) | 29.39% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 54.92% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.71% ( 0.68) | 48.28% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.56% ( 0.62) | 70.43% ( -0.63) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.75% ( 0.17) | 21.25% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.84% ( 0.26) | 54.16% ( -0.26) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( 0.62) | 30.26% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( 0.73) | 66.43% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |