Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
64.5% ( -3.27) | 19.9% ( 1.05) | 15.6% ( 2.22) |
Both teams to score 53.27% ( 2.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.65% ( 0.05) | 41.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.25% ( 0.05) | 63.75% ( -0.05) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.9% ( -0.87) | 12.1% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.34% ( -1.87) | 37.65% ( 1.86) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.6% ( 3.14) | 39.39% ( -3.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.9% ( 2.8) | 76.09% ( -2.81) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.78) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.84) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.6) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.32) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.62% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.9% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.27) Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |