Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
33.9% ( -0.06) | 27% ( 0.02) | 39.1% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.42% ( -0.08) | 54.58% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.07% ( -0.07) | 75.93% ( 0.07) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( -0.08) | 30.38% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( -0.1) | 66.57% ( 0.11) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% ( -0.01) | 27.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% ( -0.01) | 62.66% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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