Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
58.27% ( 0.07) | 23.6% ( 0.03) | 18.13% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 46.83% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% ( -0.27) | 52.64% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.71% ( -0.24) | 74.29% ( 0.24) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.17% ( -0.08) | 17.82% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.43% ( -0.13) | 48.56% ( 0.13) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.99% ( -0.29) | 43.01% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.7% ( -0.24) | 79.3% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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