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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta logo

Lecce
2 - 1
Atalanta

FT(HT: 2-1)
Zapata (40')
Ruggeri (76'), Koopmeiners (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Lecce
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 5 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-1 Atalanta BC

Lecce have been in poor form of late and need to start picking up wins if they are to avoid being relegated to Serie B after just a season in Italy's top flight. Atalanta have a stunning away record and have only lost to title rivals so far this season, meaning it is hard to see anything other than an away win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
21.27% (-0.052 -0.05) 24.79% (-0.099 -0.1) 53.95% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.2% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (0.317 0.32)53.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (0.269 0.27)74.89% (-0.268 -0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (0.126 0.13)39.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.39% (0.114 0.11)76.61% (-0.114 -0.11)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (0.18299999999999 0.18)19.73% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (0.297 0.3)51.76% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 21.27%
    Atalanta BC 53.94%
    Draw 24.78%
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.27%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 12.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.62% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.28% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 53.94%

How you voted: Lecce vs Atalanta

Lecce
10.0%
Draw
7.2%
Atalanta BC
82.8%
180
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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