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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21
Feb 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al Ettifaq
0 - 2
Al-Hilal


Toko Ekambi (42'), Al Shamrani (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Milinkovic-Savic (39'), Al-Dawsari (45+5')
Mitrovic (45+3'), Neves (52'), Koulibaly (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ettifaq and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Thursday, February 15 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Sepahan
Thursday, February 22 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Hilal

Al-Hilal have looked a cut above the rest in the Saudi Pro League this season, and with a record of 18 wins and two losses in 20 games, it is difficult to back against them securing another win here against an opponent that have only just snapped up an eight-match winless league run. While last week's victory would have gone a long way to improving the mood around the Al Ettifaq camp, we feel they will be no match for the Blue Waves in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Hilal
12.77% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 18.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 69.16% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (-0.382 -0.38)39.23% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44% (-0.402 -0.4)61.56% (0.401 0.4)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93% (-0.358 -0.36)42.07% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5% (-0.314 -0.31)78.5% (0.31099999999999 0.31)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1)10.27% (0.097 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.34% (-0.223 -0.22)33.65% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 12.77%
    Al-Hilal 69.16%
    Draw 18.07%
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 3.74% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 3.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 12.77%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.07%
0-2 @ 11.19% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.83% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-5 @ 2.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 69.16%

How you voted: Al Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal

Al Ettifaq
10.3%
Draw
6.9%
Al-Hilal
82.8%
29
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Ettifaq
Malcom (24'), Al-Dawsari (41')
Aldawsari (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal32293096217590
2Al-Nassr32253494385678
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli32187766353161
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun321510749341555
5Al Ittihad32156115749851
6Al Ettifaq32111294233945
7Al Fayha321110114350-743
8Al Fateh32119125351242
9Al ShababAl Shabab32118134239341
10Damac321010124240240
11Al Khaleej32910133443-937
12Al RaedAl Raed3298154048-835
13Al WahdaAl Wahda32105174357-1435
14Al Riyadh32710152954-2531
15Al Tai3287173359-2631
16Al Okhdood3285193051-2129
17Abha3285193584-4929
18Al Hazem32312173173-4221


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