Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
19.58% ( -0.3) | 21.47% ( -0.21) | 58.95% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.39% ( 0.52) | 41.6% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.99% ( 0.52) | 64% ( -0.53) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% ( -0.01) | 34.95% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% ( -0.01) | 71.69% ( 0) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.2% ( 0.33) | 13.79% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.88% ( 0.64) | 41.12% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.58% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 58.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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